Bali reports 0.25% inflation in October as annual rate reaches 3.87%

In brief: Figures released by Bali's statistics agency, BPS, on 2 November 2026 show consumer prices rising 0.25% in October from September. The year-on-year increase reached 3.87%, with food supply pressures and a mid-October fuel disruption contributing to the month's price movements.

A slower month did not reverse the annual rise

October's 0.25% monthly increase was below September's 0.32%. The annual rate nevertheless edged up from 3.79% in September to 3.87% in October. Prices were 2.74% higher than in December 2025, according to the year-to-date measure.

The three figures answer different questions. Monthly inflation measures the movement since September; annual inflation compares October with the same month a year earlier; the year-to-date reading uses the end of 2025 as its starting point. None of them indicates how much a particular household spends in rupiah.

Price movements also differed within Bali. Reports drawing on the BPS figures and comments from Bank Indonesia's Bali office put October's monthly inflation at 0.52% in Badung and 0.18% in Denpasar. A single provincial average therefore cannot describe the experience of every neighbourhood or household.

Food supply and a short fuel disruption shaped October prices

Food, beverages and tobacco accounted for 0.18 percentage points of Bali's 0.25% monthly inflation. Red chillies, bird's-eye chillies, leafy vegetables, cabbage, beans and pork were among the products pushing the index higher. Price declines for some other foods, including chicken and certain onions and fish, partly offset those increases.

BPS Bali attributed the pressure to reduced agricultural output during an extended dry period and disruption to goods distribution while fuel supplies were constrained around 11–15 October. The account identifies contributors to October’s inflation. It gives no evidence that the shortages continued for the remainder of the year, so they cannot be assumed to persist in a longer-term budget.

The same food-price movements will affect households differently according to how often and where they buy fresh produce. A household whose spending is concentrated in fixed services may experience much less of that particular pressure. The index tracks a weighted basket of goods and services, so a long-stay budget still needs separate comparisons for actual grocery bills, transport costs and other regular purchases.

The 3.87% annual figure is also not a measure of rental inflation or residential property appreciation. Lease renewals, agreed rent adjustments and asking prices for villas or apartments involve separate markets and individual contract terms. The BPS release provides useful context for everyday expenses, but no basis for automatically increasing a rent estimate or projecting property returns by the same percentage.