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Phuket Net Rental Income Scenarios

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Quick — 10-second read

The conclusion and the next practical check.

Takeaway
A monthly asking rent is only the starting line. For the same condo, paid months, management, owner costs and the full amount invested can move the outcome materially; the 8-, 10- and 12-month cases below are sensitivity tests, not Phuket occupancy statistics.
What to do
Start with the condo you are actually evaluating: acquisition price, buyer-paid transaction costs, any setup work, a comparable long-term rent, the management agreement and recurring owner bills. Keep missing items open until a real document replaces them; a complete-looking percentage built on guessed costs is less useful than an honest range.

Start with total capital invested, not the listing price

A yield can be calculated perfectly and still answer the wrong question if the denominator is only the advertised purchase price. The useful denominator is the cash required to acquire and prepare the condo for its first lease.

The worked example uses a 34 sqm foreign-quota unit at Dcondo Reef Phuket. Its sale listing shows THB 3.2 million, full furnishing and a common-area fee of THB 1,870 per month. For the model, THB 3.2 million is treated as an illustrative acquisition price taken from the current asking listing, not as evidence of a completed transaction.

Buyer-paid registration and closing items belong on top of that amount once the actual settlement terms are known. The Department of Lands' general condominium registration schedule includes a 2% fee on the applicable appraised base, but that does not justify adding THB 64,000 to every buyer's model: the applicable base, any current relief and the agreed allocation between the parties must be established for the transaction. No generic furniture budget is inserted because this particular unit is advertised as fully furnished.

So the model keeps total capital as THB 3.2 million plus documented buyer costs and any necessary initial work. Until those numbers are available, the final yield percentage stays open. Financing interest and currency gains or losses sit outside the property's operating return.

A monthly asking rent is not twelve paid months

A current one-year listing for a 34 sqm Dcondo Reef unit asks THB 22,000 per month. Other September 2026 listings for roughly 34–35 sqm units in the same project sit around THB 22,000–27,000 per month across major portals. Those figures show what landlords are asking, not what a signed lease ultimately clears at, so the worked model uses THB 22,000 as a visible input instead of presenting a portal price as a guaranteed rent.

At that rate, twelve paid months would produce THB 264,000 of collected rent. Nothing in a listing proves that a future tenant will occupy the unit for all twelve months, that a gap between leases will be avoided, or that the asking figure will survive negotiation.

The 8-, 10- and 12-month cases are therefore sensitivity points for one condo. They are deliberately neutral labels. None is presented as a forecast or as a typical Phuket occupancy level.

Owner use is kept at zero in the table so market vacancy is easy to see: four vacant months in the 8-month case, two in the 10-month case and none in the 12-month case. If the owner blocks part of the year for personal stays, those months should be recorded separately because they reduce rental availability without describing tenant demand.

A refundable tenant deposit also stays outside rental income while it remains repayable under the lease. Cash held as security is not the same thing as rent collected.

Inputs the cash-flow model must include

Income

  • Monthly long-term rent
  • Paid months per year
  • Actual rent collected, if available
  • Owner-use months kept separate

Operating costs

  • Management rate and fee base
  • Tenant placement and leasing fee
  • Condominium common-area fees
  • Owner-paid insurance and utilities
  • Maintenance and repairs

Capital invested

  • Purchase price or actual amount paid
  • Buyer-paid transaction costs
  • Furniture and equipment not already included
  • Initial work required before first letting

Tax check

  • Owner status and tax residence
  • Income category and ownership structure
  • Whether withholding applies
  • Available deductions and withholding credit

Build three scenarios without promising a return

All three rows hold the asset and pricing assumptions constant: the same 34 sqm condo, an illustrative THB 3.2 million acquisition price and THB 22,000 monthly rent. Paid months are the only revenue variable that changes, so vacancy is not disguised by switching to a different unit or a different price.

Ongoing management is set at 10% of rent actually collected. That is a modelling assumption, not a quoted contract for this condo. The example also assumes one new annual lease with a tenant-placement fee equal to one month's rent, THB 22,000. The unit's published common-area charge contributes THB 22,440 per year, and a THB 16,000 annual maintenance allowance is included as an explicit sensitivity assumption rather than a claimed Phuket market norm.

Metered utilities are assumed to be tenant-paid. No separate owner insurance premium is available for the selected unit, so the model does not invent one; an actual policy premium should be deducted from every scenario. Under the stated assumptions, collected rent equals THB 22,000 multiplied by paid months, management equals 10% of collected rent, and pre-owner-tax operating cash flow equals collected rent minus management, THB 22,440 of common fees, THB 22,000 of tenant placement and the THB 16,000 maintenance allowance.

The final capital denominator is still open because buyer-paid acquisition costs are unknown. The percentages shown with the cash flows are therefore ceilings based on total capital being at least THB 3.2 million, not completed after-tax return figures.

Three cash-flow scenarios for the same condo

At THB 22,000 per month, collected rent is THB 176,000, THB 220,000 and THB 264,000 across the three cases. Every row keeps the same 10% management charge, THB 22,440 annual common fees, one THB 22,000 tenant-placement fee and a THB 16,000 maintenance allowance. Cash flow is before owner-specific income tax and any separate insurance premium; the percentage is only a ceiling until actual buyer costs are added to the THB 3.2 million acquisition assumption.

ScenarioInputsNet result
8 paid months4 vacant months; 0 owner-useTHB 97,960/year; yield ≤ 3.1%
10 paid months2 vacant months; 0 owner-useTHB 137,560/year; yield ≤ 4.3%
12 paid months0 vacant months; 0 owner-useTHB 177,160/year; yield ≤ 5.5%

How many paid months cover the annual operating costs?

Each paid month contributes THB 19,800 toward fixed owner costs after the model's 10% management charge is taken from THB 22,000 of rent. The fixed annual amount is THB 60,440: THB 22,440 of common fees, THB 22,000 for one tenant placement and the THB 16,000 maintenance allowance.

Dividing THB 60,440 by THB 19,800 gives 3.05 paid months. In whole-month terms, three paid months leave the model THB 1,040 short, while four paid months put it THB 18,760 above the included operating costs. Four full paid months are therefore the break-even point under these exact assumptions.

That number is not the payback period for the condo. A lease renewal with no new placement fee would lower it; owner-paid insurance, utilities, larger repairs or other real bills would raise it. The useful break-even threshold is the one rebuilt from the actual management agreement and annual owner statements.

The tax layer is not one universal percentage

Thai Revenue Code Section 40(5) places rent from property within assessable income. The Revenue Department's English PIT guidance lists a 30% standard deduction for building rent and a 5% withholding rate for rents. Those are components of the tax framework, not a universal statement that every owner ultimately pays 5% of gross rent.

The same official guidance says tax withheld at source is credited against the taxpayer's final liability when the return is filed. The after-tax outcome depends on the owner's status and residence, the ownership structure, who pays the rent, applicable deductions and whether withholding can be credited. That is why the comparison stops at pre-owner-tax operating cash flow; an after-tax figure needs owner-specific facts for the relevant tax year.

Questions that remain after the model

Can I use the asking rent from a listing as the model input?

Yes, as a clearly labelled asking-rent input. A listing does not prove the final contracted rent or the number of months that will actually be paid. Comparables are most useful when unit type, size and lease term are close and the listing is current. Once a lease is signed, the contracted figure should replace the asking price in the model.

Should the tenant deposit count as rental income?

A refundable security deposit should not be counted as rent when it is received. It remains money the owner may have to return under the lease, so treating it as another paid month inflates cash flow. If part of the deposit is later validly applied to arrears or damage, that event should be recorded for what it actually is. Receipt of the deposit alone is not rental income.

How should owner-use months be treated?

Keep owner use separate from market vacancy. A blocked month produces no rent because the condo was unavailable, not because the market failed to produce a tenant. Two owner-use months plus two vacant months can lead to the same eight paid months as four vacant months, but the business meaning is different. The split shows how much cash flow is a deliberate lifestyle choice and how much is actual letting downtime.

Should I simply deduct 5% tax from the rent?

No. The Revenue Department lists 5% as a withholding rate for rents where withholding applies, and the withheld amount is then credited against the taxpayer's final liability. The eventual tax result varies with the owner's status and residence, ownership structure, deductions and the identity of the payer. Without those facts, pre-owner-tax operating cash flow is the cleaner comparison measure.

Expert view

Mark Erometskiy

The easiest way to make this model look better than it is is to start with perfect inputs. Twelve paid months are useful as an upper-bound cash-flow test, not as a promise that a Phuket condo will stay rented all year. A missing management, tenant-placement or repair cost should stay visible as an assumption until a real contract or invoice replaces it. Running the same condo through several paid-month scenarios isolates the effect of vacancy instead of mixing it with a different property or price. That makes the numbers easier to challenge and update. Once the actual management agreement and owner bills arrive, they can be dropped into the same model without changing its logic.

Mark Erometskiy

NovAsia Thailand expert

Expert profile →

Sources and check dates

Show sources and methodology5 checked sources
  • Personal Income Tax | The Revenue Department (English Site)

    Supports the general personal-income-tax framework, the guidance table's 30% standard deduction for building rent, 5% withholding on rents and the crediting of withheld tax against final liability. It does not determine the final tax bill for a particular owner.

  • Section 38_64 | The Revenue Department (English Site)

    Used for the Revenue Code classification of property rent under Section 40(5) and the broader statutory framework for Thai-source property income. An owner-specific calculation still requires the taxpayer's facts and tax year.

  • Fees, Taxes and Duties | Department of Lands

    Supports the general 2% condominium rights-registration fee on the applicable appraised base and the existence of special reduced-fee regimes. It is not used to assign the full amount automatically to the buyer because the base, relief and cost allocation are transaction-specific.

  • Official Thai market source

    Supports the selected example's THB 3.2 million asking price, 34 sqm size, foreign quota, full furnishing and THB 1,870 monthly common-area fee. The listing does not prove a completed sale price, buyer costs or future rent, and its automated promotional yield is not used in the model.

    Original title: 1 Bedroom Condo for Sale at Dcondo Reef Phuket for ฿3,200,000 | U6050251
  • Dcondo Reef, 34sq.m 1 bedroom + work room | PropertyHub

    Supports a THB 22,000 monthly asking rent for a 34 sqm unit on a one-year contract, with a two-month deposit and one month in advance. It is an asking listing, not evidence of an executed lease.

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